- Emerging market balance of payments/currency problems that are reminiscent of the 1997 Asian financial crisis.
- Looming debt ceiling debate in Washington.
- Fed tapering isn’t a sure thing for September, » but if not, it speaks to weakening economic backdrop. »
- A third Greek bailout and that while Europe might have emerged from a recession, there is no catalyst for a recovery.
- U.S. GDP estimates are being revised down.
- Recent economic data shows that Canada has hit a « rough patch. »
- « Some countries are contracting now (Thailand, Mexico and Netherlands). »
- « Sharp bond spasm… spillover effects to other markets? Long bond is -17.5% in total return in the past 3+ months (which only happened twice before). »
- Poor earnings for American retailers and a weak start to the back-to-school shopping season.
- The « leadership vacuum at the Fed. » The absence of a Bernanke speech at Jackson Hole also makes the policy backdrop unclear.
Note: Tous les investissements sont partagés en temps réel sur L'Académie des Graphs. Le portefeuille représente mes convictions personnelles consolidées (de mes différents courtiers) et n'est pas une incitation à l'achat ni à la vente. La performance en cours inclus les gains ou moins values latentes et l'impact du change sur les actions étrangères. Performance 2024: +41%; 2023: +38%; 2022: +46%; 2021: +122%; 2020: +121%; 2019: +79%; 2018: +21%; 2017: +24%; 2016: +12%; 2015: +45%; 2014: +30%; 2013:+72%, 2012:+9%, 2011:-11%... Clique-ici pour découvrir le logiciel d'aide à la décison que j'utilise au quotidien pour détecter au bon moment les meilleures actions.
